{"id":4006,"date":"2022-02-01T11:30:37","date_gmt":"2022-02-01T11:30:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/CAIiEOBASJzjR9AxK6NOqVJ_3ygqGQgEKhAIACoHCAow3cCjCzCgy7sDMKy5hAc"},"modified":"2022-02-01T11:30:37","modified_gmt":"2022-02-01T11:30:37","slug":"us-cannabis-stocks-tumbled-in-january-exacerbating-issues-confronting-industry-marijuana-business-daily","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/?p=4006","title":{"rendered":"US cannabis stocks tumbled in January, exacerbating issues confronting industry &#8211; Marijuana Business Daily"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/us-cannabis-stocks-tumbled-in-january-exacerbating-issues-confronting-industry-marijuana-business-daily.png\" class=\"ff-og-image-inserted\"><\/div>\n<p>U.S. cannabis stocks suffered a rout in January, tumbling more than the broader market as hopes for federal marijuana legalization in the near future continued to fade.<\/p>\n<p>The recent slide is expected to exacerbate existing issues confronting marijuana businesses, such as limited banking and funding options as well as higher taxes.<\/p>\n<div class=\"google-ad-wrapper banner-ad position-leaderboard\">\n<p>ADVERTISEMENT<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>An exchange-traded fund that tracks U.S. multistate operators \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nyse.com\/quote\/ARCX:MSOS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF<\/a> \u2013 tumbled nearly 20% in January.<\/p>\n<p>By comparison, the much broader S&amp;P 500 declined by a little more than 5%.<\/p>\n<p>The January slide came after steady declines in cannabis-related stocks in 2021, as major federal marijuana reform looked less and less likely in the short term.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMost of the downturn, in my view, is a cumulative slow-motion capitulation to the idea that there won\u2019t be any federal legalization (of marijuana) anytime soon,\u201d said Frank Colombo, director of data analytics for New York-based Viridian Capital Advisors.<\/p>\n<p>The cannabis ETF, which trades on the New York Stock Exchange Arca <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nyse.com\/quote\/ARCX:MSOS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">as MSOS<\/a>, went from about $40 a share in early 2021 to a high of more than $55 a share.<\/p>\n<p>On Monday, it closed at $21.05, down from its 2022 opening price of $25.93.<\/p>\n<p>Marijuana stocks soared in the first few weeks of 2021 with the heady optimism that resulted from a new Democratic administration and a flip in the Senate from Republican control.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe few blips up (last year) all corresponded to times that there was a little bit of optimism (about reform),\u201d Colombo said.<\/p>\n<p>One inflection point occurred after Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer said in late January 2021 that he was going to introduce a sweeping <a href=\"https:\/\/mjbizdaily.com\/senate-leader-chuck-schumer-pushing-federal-marijuana-legalization\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">marijuana reform bill<\/a>. Schumer hasn\u2019t yet introduced that legislation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAll of the other positive news like states going rec didn\u2019t really do much,\u201d Colombo said. \u201cThe market is fixated on this whole legalization stuff.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Monday proved to be the latest example.<\/p>\n<p>After House lawmakers revived the <a href=\"https:\/\/mjbizdaily.com\/cannabis-banking-bill-revived-as-attachment-to-domestic-spending-bill-in-house\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">SAFE Banking Act<\/a> on Friday as an attachment to a technology and innovation spending bill, investors immediately responded: MSOS increased on Monday by 5.36% to $21.05.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Business challenges<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Matt Karnes, founder of New York-based cannabis financial advisory firm GreenWave Advisors, agreed that the lack of progress on federal marijuana reform has exacerbated the market downturn.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe cannabis industry \u2013 plant-touching and to a lesser extent ancillary \u2013 is likely more vulnerable to market volatility associated with overall economic uncertainty due to the inherent limitation\/headwinds of federal (marijuana) illegality,\u201d he told <em>MJBizDaily <\/em>via email.<\/p>\n<div class=\"columns col-lg-12 col-md-12 col-sm-12 con_cta_wrapper\">\n<p><b>Growing is all about the lighting: <em>MJBizDaily<\/em> Lighting Buyers Guide&nbsp;<\/b><\/p>\n<div id=\"lp-pom-text-456\" class=\"lp-element lp-pom-text nlh\">\n<p>Read our exclusive guide for strategies and tips from expert cultivators who have amassed decades of experience studying horticulture lighting.&nbsp;Curated by <em>MJBizDaily.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Inside:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Horticultural professionals debunk 8 common lighting myths in cannabis<\/li>\n<li>How cannabis extraction companies can reduce energy costs<\/li>\n<li>Why experts say the future of horticultural lighting is in LED technology<\/li>\n<li>Cannabis lighting Glossary of Terms<\/li>\n<li>Buyers checklist<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<p>Karnes noted that the market volatility exacerbates existing challenges for marijuana businesses, including:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Limited access to capital markets.<\/li>\n<li>Stock trading restrictions.<\/li>\n<li>The costs of prohibition, including higher taxes and higher debt costs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>For example, state-legal marijuana companies pay higher taxes than other businesses because of the <a href=\"https:\/\/mjbizdaily.com\/?s=%22enforcement+of+Section+280E+of+the+federal+tax+code+and+the+cannabis+industry%22\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Section 280E provision<\/a> of the IRS tax code.<\/p>\n<p>They also pay higher interest rates on debt than other businesses because of the riskier nature of the industry and the federal government\u2019s prohibition governing marijuana.<\/p>\n<p>In terms of trading issues, part of the price decline last year was attributed to Credit Suisse Group deciding to <a href=\"https:\/\/mjbizdaily.com\/credit-suisse-halts-us-cannabis-stock-transactions\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stop executing stock transactions<\/a> of cannabis companies with U.S. operations.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sales slowdown<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Another concern that might play into stock pricing is the softening of sales in the fourth quarter of 2021.<\/p>\n<p>Pablo Zuanic, an equity analyst for New York-based investment banking firm Cantor Fitzgerald, noted that the fourth-quarter sales data didn\u2019t provide the \u201cspark\u201d needed for cannabis stocks.<\/p>\n<p>Sales growth in most states slowed compared to the third quarter, with sales actually falling in some states such as Nevada.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe realize that (the first half of 2021, especially the second quarter) was fueled by COVID stimulus (money) and child-tax credits, and now purchasing issues (inflation) are playing a part,\u201d Zuanic wrote in an investor note.<\/p>\n<p>One important inflationary measure rose at a level not seen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2022\/01\/28\/economy\/december-pce-inflation\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">since the early 1980s<\/a>, and interest-rate hikes are expected in March.<\/p>\n<p>Given the current economic context, Zuanic wrote, sales will be driven in the months ahead in the medical marijuana markets that are relaxing rules as well as in the states such as Connecticut, New Jersey and New Mexico that will be launching recreational cannabis markets.<\/p>\n<p>Even with softer sales and inflationary pressures, Colombo noted, marijuana business fundamentals overall are strong, compared to late 2019, when stock prices dropped, <a href=\"https:\/\/mjbizdaily.com\/medmen-and-pharmacann-terminate-682-million-cannabis-merger-medmen-cfo-ousted\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">merger and acquisition deals collapsed<\/a> or were revised, and some MSOs struggled financially.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s really a night and day difference,\u201d he said. \u201cCompanies are so much more profitable and developed than they were even a year and a half ago.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI still think of the industry as being in the toddler stage, but it\u2019s not an infant anymore. It\u2019s walking, talking, performing. Companies have positive EBITDA.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>EBITDA \u2013 or earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization \u2013 is a key metric to gauge the financial health of a company.<\/p>\n<p><strong>M&amp;As still strong<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Despite the market volatility, Zuanic expects M&amp;A activity to \u201cramp up\u201d this year.<\/p>\n<p>M&amp;A activity already has been relatively strong in the first weeks of 2022, with $476.2 million in transactions, according to a recent Viridian report.<\/p>\n<p>That included Massachusetts-based Curaleaf closing in January on an acquisition of Arizona-based Bloom Dispensaries for <a href=\"https:\/\/mjbizdaily.com\/marijuana-mso-curaleaf-completes-211-million-bloom-acquisition-in-arizona\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">$211 million<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Colombo said he expects debt raises to be relatively robust this year as well.<\/p>\n<p>Florida-based Trulieve Cannabis just closed on its <a href=\"https:\/\/mjbizdaily.com\/marijuana-mso-trulieve-closes-on-final-75-million-slice-of-425-million-raise\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">final, $75 million portion<\/a> of an industry-record $425 million debt raise at an interest rate of 8% annually.<\/p>\n<p>Equity raises, meanwhile, are being impacted by the stock volatility.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBig companies don\u2019t have the burning need to do financing,\u201d and the depressed stock prices will generally keep them from doing equity raises, Colombo said.<\/p>\n<p>Ultimately, the question is what will be the catalyst for driving stocks upward.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s not going to be from the economy,\u201d Colombo said. \u201cIt looks like inflation is definitely here, so the overall macro picture isn\u2019t favorable.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think it has to be full legalization (either) \u2013 but it has to be something like the SAFE Banking Act being reconsidered.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>Jeff Smith can be reached at&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:jeff.smith@mjbizdaily.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" data-feathr-click-track=\"true\">jeff.smith@mjbizdaily.com<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>U.S. cannabis stocks suffered a rout in January, tumbling more than the broader market as hopes for federal marijuana legalization in the near future continued to fade. The recent slide is expected to exacerbate existing issues confronting marijuana businesses, such as limited banking and funding options as well as higher taxes. ADVERTISEMENT An exchange-traded fund that tracks U.S. multistate operators \u2013 AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF \u2013 tumbled nearly 20% in January. By comparison, the much broader S&amp;P 500 declined by a little more than 5%. The January slide came after steady declines in cannabis-related stocks in 2021, as major&#8230; <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4007,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"fifu_image_url":"","fifu_image_alt":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/us-cannabis-stocks-tumbled-in-january-exacerbating-issues-confronting-industry-marijuana-business-daily.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4006","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4006"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4006\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4007"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4006"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4006"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thcinct.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4006"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}